Friday Night Lights: Schalke Seek Revenge in Düsseldorf

The Merkur Spiel-Arena is set to ignite on Friday as Fortuna Düsseldorf welcomes FC Schalke 04 in a crucial 2. Bundesliga clash. The visitors are favored to take all three points, but recent history suggests this one could go either way.

Schalke will be looking to bounce back from a dismal record against their hosts. In their last five meetings, Fortuna has come out on top three times, with Schalke managing only two draws. The most recent encounter saw Düsseldorf run out 2-0 winners, a result that still stings for the Royal Blues.

Despite this, the current form book suggests Schalke is due for a win. With a significant edge in expected goals and a strong away record, they’re tipped to take control of the match. However, Fortuna’s ability to grind out results at home cannot be underestimated.

The data points to a tight, low-scoring affair, with under 3.5 goals looking like a solid bet. Schalke’s attacking prowess will likely be matched by Düsseldorf’s dogged defense, setting up a fascinating tactical battle.

With the win probabilities evenly split between a draw and an away win, this one is tough to call. However, if recent trends are anything to go by, Schalke should have enough quality to see off their hosts. A double chance bet on a draw or Schalke win looks like a safe play, but don’t be surprised if Fortuna pushes them all the way.

Key Stats:

• Schalke has a 45% chance of winning, with Düsseldorf at 10% and a draw also at 45%.
• The expected goals tally is low, with under 3.5 goals looking likely.
• Fortuna has won three of the last five meetings between the two sides.

Prediction: A closely fought match with Schalke’s quality eventually telling. Back the Royal Blues to edge it, but don’t rule out a draw.